Isolated vs Scattered Storms
“What is the difference between isolated storms and scattered storms?”
Isolated and scattered both refer to areal coverage. Isolated refers to hit and miss. We don’t expect that many storms. That might equate to a 20-30% chance for rain at any one location.
Scattered would indicate a better chance for storms. Rain chances would be between 40-60%.
The other category would be numerous. When we forecast numerous thunderstorms, the radar should be pretty full.
You really shouldn’t say “there’s a 20% chance for isolated thunderstorms.” It’s redundant. You should either say “there’s a 20% chance for thunderstorms,” or “there are isolated thunderstorms in the forecast.”
182 Appraisal N33ZT
A search of the FAA database shows N33ZT registered as a 1977 182Q however by serial number it is considered a 1978. This appraisal was complete using the computer program Aircraft Bluebook Price Digest (current edition). The average retail sale price of a 1977 182Q is $63,000 USD and the wholesale or trade-in value is $50,000 USD. The average retail price of a 1978 182Q is $67,000 USD and the wholesale or trade-in value is $54,000 USD. Based on this data and the appraisal below I would expect this aircraft to sell for somewhere in the mid $50,000 USD to low $60,000 USD range.
I have included a snapshot of the current listings on the Controller for review and comparison. Keep in mind that these are “asking prices” only, these are not actual “sale” values. Bluebook numbers are based on actual sale numbers provided by banks, lending companies, dealers, brokers, etc.
The appraiser also conducted a search of the NTSB online database which showed no records on file.
Aircraft Appraisal: 1978 182Q II SKYLANE
Avg Retail Inventory
$67,000 $54,000 1978 182Q II SKYLANE
2,412 1,944 Low Airframe hours: 2,900 hrs (3.6% for low usage)
-833 -833 For high engine time × 1 engine [800 log hrs]
25,613 25,613 40 percent of Avionics cost (your cost column)
-12,000 -12,000 Paint job
-15,000 -15,000 Portion of engine overhaul
$67,192 $53,724 Total value(s)
Appraisal notes: The appraisal is based on good paint and interior (there was a deduction for paint), annual within 6 months, no damage history, all ADs complied with. The appraiser added for 40 percent of the added avionics based on data provided by Dick at Wings N Things. Avionics do not hold their value. At 2 years avionics are worth 55 percent of new cost, 3 years 45 percent of new cost, 4 years 35 percent of new cost. The appraiser based the avionics price on being between 3 and 4 years old. The appraiser deducted $15,000 USD for a portion of the engine overhaul. Based on the age of the engine overhaul most buyers will want to deduct a large portion of the average cost for an engine overhaul. This number may increase or decrease based on the individual buyer.
A Rainbow of a Race
This year is starting out to be not your typical race. The start date has been moved, the course changed, and the weather has been the cause. But the weather has also produced some great pictures. You can click on each picture to view a larger size.
The two Frederick based teams meet up in Alliance
We all know that the rainbow points to the winner!
The racers get a big welcome in Alliance
And a rainbow for each DC3 Racer
Race Update From Carol
Tuesday AM – Off to Topeka. Or to Salina, very strong headwinds, Gusts, WX. Plan to get to alliance tonight.
Tuesday mid-day – Made it to Topeka. We’re still in Kansas anymore!
Leavenworth prison
Flooding in Iowa
DC3 Racers in Iowa City
The DC3 Racers spend a few days in Iowa City completing handicap flights, sight seeing, and relaxing before the big race. (Click on each picture for a large view)
Some interesting factoids
Here is the Iowa City Government Center
And it is back to the race details. Here is N199CA at the inspection.
Debi has to go over the paperwork
The team after the handicap flight.
Carol juggling
Debi fits right in with her leather jacket
Carol crashes the sim at the kids aviation exhibit!
DC3 goes to the Early Arrivals party
Deb relaxes by shopping!
Lunch –
All the famous politicos ate here ( Clinton, Reagan et al) and was the site of the Iowa coffee bean caucus in TV’s “West Wing” – and we did too!
DC3 checks out some interesting aircraft and some interesting pilots!
Find race plane #27 – go ahead, you’ll see. They made us add 1/2″ to the number so it would be seen by the timers. What a difference a half inch makes! (Click on the picture for a larger view).
Stay tuned for more…
Tortoise celebrates 130th birthday
Methuselah, who has been at Reptile Gardens in Rapid City since 1956, turns 130 this weekend. In honor of the giant tortoise’s birthday, Reptile Gardens is throwing him a birthday party.
He was born in 1881!!
B-17 makes fiery emergency landing in cornfield
Seven crew members and volunteers walked away without serious injury after a World War II “Flying Fortress” bomber burned in a cornfield southeast of Aurora Municipal Airport on Monday, June 13, officials say. The B-17, christened the “Liberty Belle,” took off from the airport at 9:30 a.m. and made an emergency landing in a cornfield near Highway 71 and Minkler Road in Oswego after the pilot reported an engine fire, according to Sugar Grove Fire Chief Marty Kunkle.
AOPA
From ANN Contributor Bob Miller, CFII, ATP – My suggestion to our readers is that they follow my example and yank the plug on AOPA.
From ANN – Today (long after the first complaints), ANN received a threatening missive from an AOPA lawyer in an apparent attempt to intimidate us into silence… and (surprise!!!) less than a day after they were notified (in order to elicit a response) that we were publishing a Guest Editorial from another high-profile member of the aviation community protesting conduct like this…
This is NOT the AOPA that ANN once admired, praised and was proud to support… not by a long shot. Click here for full story.
Human-Powered Helicopter Takes Flight
University of Maryland’s “Gamera” Claims World Record with Female Pilot Aboard, Confirmation Is Pending
A team of more than 50 students at the University of Maryland’s A. James Clark School of Engineering has succeeded in flying their human-powered helicopter, Gamera. At approximately 1730 EDT on Thursday, pilot Judy Wexler, a 24-year-old biology graduate student at UM, pedaled furiously, taking the craft 3-5 inches into the air for about 4 seconds, setting a world record for human-powered helicopter flight with a female pilot.
Piper Lance Evaluation
The last annual was completed July 2010. The 91.411 & 91.413 certifications were completed June 2009. The owner states that all ADs, and mandatory service bulletins are up to date as of last annual inspection.
Some notable log entries: The major overhaul on the engine was completed by Barrett Precision Engines in Tulsa Ok in June 2009. It was reinstalled on the aircraft at 2754.2 hobbs time. The total time on the engine is approximately 5900 hours. In May of 1982 there is a log entry to replace a horizontal stabilizer and “one tip”. There is also a log entry for a ferry flight for this repair. The aircraft was repainted in February 1992 using DuPont Imron system. There are several log entries made by Three Wing Flying Services for skin replacement due to cracks in the skin. These entries and the May 1982 entry are not considered “damage history” in my opinion. A new interior (seat coverings and side panels) was installed in 1994 and the material has the proper FAA certification paperwork in the log books. A new windshield was installed in March 2004. The aircraft appears to have been operated on a Part 135 certificate based on log book entries to comply with Part 135 requirements.
The average price for the current online listings is $130,500 USD. The most comparable aircraft online have an asking price of approximately $149,900 USD. Most likely these aircraft will sell in the mid $130,000 USD range plus or minus based on a careful review of the aircraft and records.
My review of the log books and aircraft show that the aircraft is in very good condition. The log books appear to be in order and complete. The aircraft shows very well with only one minor flaw in the paint – see photos for details. The interior is “like new” and in my opinion better than average for an aircraft of that year. I also search the NTSB database which showed no results.
I have included a BlueBook appraisal for reference. I priced the items that were in the BlueBook database or that I was able to find online or by other reliable resources. I have also included a snapshot of the listings on the Controller, ASO, and Trade-A-Plane. Based on all of this information (and recent sales that I made) I would put a fair market price of $125,000 USD to $135,000 USD.
